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TheyShoot

Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool United Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Boreham Wood favourites: Boreham Wood 76%, draw 15%, Hartlepool United 9%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (National League). Expected goals are 2.55–0.75, and both teams score in 49% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Boreham Wood
76%
fair 1.31
Draw
15%
fair 6.68
Hartlepool United
9%
fair 11.35

Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool United prediction

The model expects 2.55 goals from Boreham Wood and 0.75 from Hartlepool United. Both teams to score is 49% likely, and over 2.5 goals 64%. The three most likely scores are 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.1 (Boreham Wood 7.4, Hartlepool United 2.7). Over 9.5 corners: 54%.
  • Expected cards: 3.9. Over 3.5 cards: 54%. Referee: D Blades, who averages 5.00 cards per game this season.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Boreham Wood141W W W W W
Hartlepool United2015L L W W L
  • Woking 1–2 Boreham Wood
  • Boreham Wood 4–0 AFC Fylde
  • Sutton United 0–2 Boreham Wood
  • AFC Fylde 3–1 Hartlepool United
  • Hartlepool United 2–1 Hornchurch
  • Forest Green Rovers 2–4 Hartlepool United

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every National League game on our National League predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every National League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool United?

Our model gives Boreham Wood a 76% chance, the draw 15% and Hartlepool United 9%.

What time is Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool United?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.

Will both teams score in Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool United?

The model puts both teams to score at 49%.

Next steps