Barrow vs Eastleigh Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Barrow favourites: Barrow 59%, draw 22%, Eastleigh 19%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (National League). Expected goals are 1.94–1.02, and both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Barrow
- 59%
- fair 1.70
- Draw
- 22%
- fair 4.60
- Eastleigh
- 19%
- fair 5.15
Barrow vs Eastleigh prediction
The model expects 1.94 goals from Barrow and 1.02 from Eastleigh. Both teams to score is 55% likely, and over 2.5 goals 57%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.5 (Barrow 7.1, Eastleigh 3.4). Over 9.5 corners: 59%.
- Expected cards: 5.3. Over 3.5 cards: 77%. Referee: P Marsden, who averages 5.33 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | 8 | 24 | W W W W W |
| Eastleigh | 17 | 18 | D L L W L |
- FC Halifax Town 2–3 Barrow
- Tamworth 1–2 Barrow
- Barrow 2–1 Wealdstone
- Forest Green Rovers 2–0 Eastleigh
- Eastleigh 4–2 Boston United
- Hornchurch 2–0 Eastleigh
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every National League game on our National League predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every National League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Barrow vs Eastleigh?
Our model gives Barrow a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Eastleigh 19%.
What time is Barrow vs Eastleigh?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Barrow vs Eastleigh?
The model puts both teams to score at 55%.