Altrincham vs Carlisle United Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Altrincham favourites: Altrincham 40%, draw 24%, Carlisle United 36%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (National League). Expected goals are 1.53–1.44, and both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Altrincham
- 40%
- fair 2.51
- Draw
- 24%
- fair 4.09
- Carlisle United
- 36%
- fair 2.80
Altrincham vs Carlisle United prediction
The model expects 1.53 goals from Altrincham and 1.44 from Carlisle United. Both teams to score is 60% likely, and over 2.5 goals 57%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.9 (Altrincham 5.5, Carlisle United 4.4). Over 9.5 corners: 52%.
- Expected cards: 4.6. Over 3.5 cards: 68%. Referee: D Baines, who averages 4.33 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | 6 | 28 | W L W W D |
| Carlisle United | 9 | 23 | W W D W W |
- Altrincham 0–0 Kidderminster Harriers
- Yeovil Town 1–2 Altrincham
- Altrincham 3–1 Aldershot Town
- Carlisle United 3–0 Harrogate Town
- Solihull Moors 1–2 Carlisle United
- Carlisle United 0–0 Kidderminster Harriers
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every National League game on our National League predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every National League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Altrincham vs Carlisle United?
Our model gives Altrincham a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Carlisle United 36%.
What time is Altrincham vs Carlisle United?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Altrincham vs Carlisle United?
The model puts both teams to score at 60%.