Aldershot Town vs Gateshead Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Aldershot Town favourites: Aldershot Town 66%, draw 21%, Gateshead 13%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (National League). Expected goals are 1.93–0.72, and both teams score in 44% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Aldershot Town
- 66%
- fair 1.52
- Draw
- 21%
- fair 4.78
- Gateshead
- 13%
- fair 7.56
Aldershot Town vs Gateshead prediction
The model expects 1.93 goals from Aldershot Town and 0.72 from Gateshead. Both teams to score is 44% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 8.1 (Aldershot Town 4.8, Gateshead 3.3). Over 9.5 corners: 30%.
- Expected cards: 4.5. Over 3.5 cards: 66%. Referee: T Sangowawa, who averages 4.67 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aldershot Town | 16 | 18 | L L L L L |
| Gateshead | 24 | 4 | L L L L L |
- Sutton United 2–0 Aldershot Town
- Aldershot Town 0–1 Wealdstone
- Altrincham 3–1 Aldershot Town
- Boston United 2–1 Gateshead
- FC Halifax Town 4–1 Gateshead
- Gateshead 1–2 Worthing
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every National League game on our National League predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 28 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every National League result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Gateshead?
Our model gives Aldershot Town a 66% chance, the draw 21% and Gateshead 13%.
What time is Aldershot Town vs Gateshead?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Aldershot Town vs Gateshead?
The model puts both teams to score at 44%.