Troyes vs Le Mans Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Le Mans favourites: Troyes 33%, draw 25%, Le Mans 43%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time (Ligue 1). Expected goals are 1.31–1.53, and both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Troyes
- 33%
- fair 3.07
- Draw
- 25%
- fair 4.02
- Le Mans
- 43%
- fair 2.35
Troyes vs Le Mans prediction
The model expects 1.31 goals from Troyes and 1.53 from Le Mans. Both teams to score is 57% likely, and over 2.5 goals 54%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.3 (Troyes 6.9, Le Mans 2.4). Over 9.5 corners: 45%.
- Expected cards: 3.9. Over 3.5 cards: 55%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 17 | 5 | L L L L D |
| Le Mans | 15 | 7 | D W L L D |
- Toulouse 0–0 Troyes
- Troyes 1–3 Lens
- Troyes 0–2 Marseille
- Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans
- Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse
- Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Ligue 1 game on our Ligue 1 predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Ligue 1 result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our model gives Troyes a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Le Mans 43%.
What time is Troyes vs Le Mans?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
Will both teams score in Troyes vs Le Mans?
The model puts both teams to score at 57%.