Paris FC vs Monaco Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Paris FC favourites: Paris FC 42%, draw 27%, Monaco 31%. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 UK time (Ligue 1). Expected goals are 1.32–1.10, and both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Paris FC
- 42%
- fair 2.40
- Draw
- 27%
- fair 3.66
- Monaco
- 31%
- fair 3.23
Paris FC vs Monaco prediction
The model expects 1.32 goals from Paris FC and 1.10 from Monaco. Both teams to score is 49% likely, and over 2.5 goals 44%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 7.9 (Paris FC 4.2, Monaco 3.7). Over 9.5 corners: 27%.
- Expected cards: 4.2. Over 3.5 cards: 60%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 6 | 14 | D W L W L |
| Monaco | 4 | 15 | D W D L D |
- Lens 2–1 Paris FC
- Paris FC 4–3 Rennes
- Lorient 1–0 Paris FC
- Monaco 1–1 Lille
- Lorient 1–0 Monaco
- Monaco 2–2 Toulouse
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Ligue 1 game on our Ligue 1 predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Ligue 1 result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
Our model gives Paris FC a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Monaco 31%.
What time is Paris FC vs Monaco?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:15 UK time.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Monaco?
The model puts both teams to score at 49%.