Lorient vs Brest Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Lorient favourites: Lorient 41%, draw 28%, Brest 31%. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:45 UK time (Ligue 1). Expected goals are 1.26–1.05, and both teams score in 47% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Lorient
- 41%
- fair 2.43
- Draw
- 28%
- fair 3.56
- Brest
- 31%
- fair 3.24
Lorient vs Brest prediction
The model expects 1.26 goals from Lorient and 1.05 from Brest. Both teams to score is 47% likely, and over 2.5 goals 41%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 8.8 (Lorient 3.8, Brest 5.0). Over 9.5 corners: 38%.
- Expected cards: 3.5. Over 3.5 cards: 46%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 9 | 12 | D L W W D |
| Brest | 13 | 9 | L L W D L |
- Angers 0–0 Lorient
- Lorient 1–0 Monaco
- Lorient 1–0 Paris FC
- Brest 1–2 Nice
- Lille 1–1 Brest
- Brest 5–1 Angers
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Ligue 1 game on our Ligue 1 predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Ligue 1 result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Lorient vs Brest?
Our model gives Lorient a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Brest 31%.
What time is Lorient vs Brest?
Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:45 UK time.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Brest?
The model puts both teams to score at 47%.