Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Celta Vigo favourites: Rayo Vallecano 31%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 41%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 UK time (La Liga). Expected goals are 1.09–1.29, and both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Rayo Vallecano
- 31%
- fair 3.19
- Draw
- 28%
- fair 3.62
- Celta Vigo
- 41%
- fair 2.43
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction
The model expects 1.09 goals from Rayo Vallecano and 1.29 from Celta Vigo. Both teams to score is 48% likely, and over 2.5 goals 43%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.2 (Rayo Vallecano 5.5, Celta Vigo 3.7). Over 9.5 corners: 43%.
- Expected cards: 4.7. Over 3.5 cards: 68%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 9 | L W D D L |
| Celta Vigo | 9 | 12 | D W D W D |
- Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche
- Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
- Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
- Celta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
- Celta Vigo 2–1 Alavés
- Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every La Liga game on our La Liga predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every La Liga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our model gives Rayo Vallecano a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Celta Vigo 41%.
What time is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 UK time.
Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
The model puts both teams to score at 48%.