Elche vs Valencia Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Elche favourites: Elche 60%, draw 22%, Valencia 18%. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 UK time (La Liga). Expected goals are 1.85–0.90, and both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Elche
- 60%
- fair 1.68
- Draw
- 22%
- fair 4.46
- Valencia
- 18%
- fair 5.56
Elche vs Valencia prediction
The model expects 1.85 goals from Elche and 0.90 from Valencia. Both teams to score is 50% likely, and over 2.5 goals 52%. The three most likely scores are 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 8.9 (Elche 5.1, Valencia 3.8). Over 9.5 corners: 40%.
- Expected cards: 4.9. Over 3.5 cards: 71%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 15 | 10 | L W D D W |
| Valencia | 19 | 6 | W L D D L |
- Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche
- Villarreal 0–0 Elche
- Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo
- Valencia 1–2 Villarreal
- Valencia 0–0 Athletic Bilbao
- Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every La Liga game on our La Liga predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every La Liga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
Our model gives Elche a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Valencia 18%.
What time is Elche vs Valencia?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Elche vs Valencia?
The model puts both teams to score at 50%.