Barcelona vs Alavés Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Barcelona favourites: Barcelona 77%, draw 13%, Alavés 10%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time (La Liga). Expected goals are 2.99–1.02, and both teams score in 61% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Barcelona
- 77%
- fair 1.30
- Draw
- 13%
- fair 7.51
- Alavés
- 10%
- fair 10.27
Barcelona vs Alavés prediction
The model expects 2.99 goals from Barcelona and 1.02 from Alavés. Both teams to score is 61% likely, and over 2.5 goals 76%. The three most likely scores are 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.8 (Barcelona 6.9, Alavés 2.9). Over 9.5 corners: 49%.
- Expected cards: 3.6. Over 3.5 cards: 48%.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1 | 27 | W W W W L |
| Alavés | 7 | 12 | L D L L D |
- Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
- Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona
- Barcelona 3–0 Getafe
- Alavés 1–1 Málaga
- Celta Vigo 2–1 Alavés
- Alavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every La Liga game on our La Liga predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 26 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every La Liga result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Barcelona vs Alavés?
Our model gives Barcelona a 77% chance, the draw 13% and Alavés 10%.
What time is Barcelona vs Alavés?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Alavés?
The model puts both teams to score at 61%.