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TheyShoot

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction & Stats

By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated

Our model makes Swansea City favourites: Swansea City 43%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 30%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Championship). Expected goals are 1.44–1.16, and both teams score in 52% of simulations.

Model view (not a tip)

Swansea City
43%
fair 2.30
Draw
26%
fair 3.83
Blackburn Rovers
30%
fair 3.28

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction

The model expects 1.44 goals from Swansea City and 1.16 from Blackburn Rovers. Both teams to score is 52% likely, and over 2.5 goals 48%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%).

Corners and cards

  • Expected corners: 10.6 (Swansea City 5.6, Blackburn Rovers 4.9). Over 9.5 corners: 59%.
  • Expected cards: 3.8. Over 3.5 cards: 53%. Referee: G Ward, who averages 4.00 cards per game this season.

Form and league position

Form and league position
TeamPositionPointsLast 5
Swansea City323W W W L L
Blackburn Rovers1018D W W L W
  • Queens Park Rangers 5–0 Swansea City
  • Swansea City 0–1 West Ham United
  • Millwall 0–1 Swansea City
  • Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Wrexham
  • West Bromwich Albion 3–2 Blackburn Rovers
  • Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers

Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Championship game on our Championship predictions page.

How these numbers are made

Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 24 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.

FAQs

Who will win Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Our model gives Swansea City a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Blackburn Rovers 30%.

What time is Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.

Will both teams score in Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

The model puts both teams to score at 52%.

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