Stoke City vs Preston North End Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Stoke City favourites: Stoke City 66%, draw 20%, Preston North End 15%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (Championship). Expected goals are 2.13–0.89, and both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Stoke City
- 66%
- fair 1.52
- Draw
- 20%
- fair 5.11
- Preston North End
- 15%
- fair 6.85
Stoke City vs Preston North End prediction
The model expects 2.13 goals from Stoke City and 0.89 from Preston North End. Both teams to score is 52% likely, and over 2.5 goals 58%. The three most likely scores are 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.9 (Stoke City 5.6, Preston North End 4.4). Over 9.5 corners: 52%.
- Expected cards: 4.2. Over 3.5 cards: 60%. Referee: A Herczeg, who averages 4.33 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 9 | 20 | W W L W D |
| Preston North End | 24 | 5 | D L L L D |
- Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
- Derby County 0–1 Stoke City
- Stoke City 2–3 Middlesbrough
- Preston North End 1–1 West Bromwich Albion
- Wrexham 4–1 Preston North End
- Birmingham City 4–0 Preston North End
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Championship game on our Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 24 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston North End?
Our model gives Stoke City a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Preston North End 15%.
What time is Stoke City vs Preston North End?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Preston North End?
The model puts both teams to score at 52%.