Norwich City vs Watford Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Norwich City favourites: Norwich City 57%, draw 22%, Watford 21%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (Championship). Expected goals are 1.95–1.11, and both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Norwich City
- 57%
- fair 1.76
- Draw
- 22%
- fair 4.57
- Watford
- 21%
- fair 4.71
Norwich City vs Watford prediction
The model expects 1.95 goals from Norwich City and 1.11 from Watford. Both teams to score is 57% likely, and over 2.5 goals 59%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.0 (Norwich City 6.0, Watford 3.1). Over 9.5 corners: 42%.
- Expected cards: 4.5. Over 3.5 cards: 64%. Referee: B Speedie, who averages 3.00 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | 20 | 12 | L L L L W |
| Watford | 21 | 11 | L L L W L |
- Charlton Athletic 1–3 Norwich City
- Norwich City 0–1 Portsmouth
- Norwich City 0–1 Southampton
- Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 Watford
- Watford 2–0 Charlton Athletic
- Cardiff City 5–1 Watford
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Championship game on our Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 24 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Norwich City vs Watford?
Our model gives Norwich City a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Watford 21%.
What time is Norwich City vs Watford?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Norwich City vs Watford?
The model puts both teams to score at 57%.