Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Middlesbrough favourites: Middlesbrough 66%, draw 19%, Charlton Athletic 15%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Championship). Expected goals are 2.26–0.98, and both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Middlesbrough
- 66%
- fair 1.51
- Draw
- 19%
- fair 5.33
- Charlton Athletic
- 15%
- fair 6.67
Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic prediction
The model expects 2.26 goals from Middlesbrough and 0.98 from Charlton Athletic. Both teams to score is 56% likely, and over 2.5 goals 63%. The three most likely scores are 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 11.3 (Middlesbrough 7.3, Charlton Athletic 4.0). Over 9.5 corners: 67%.
- Expected cards: 3.2. Over 3.5 cards: 39%. Referee: W Finnie, who averages 3.25 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1 | 25 | D W W D W |
| Charlton Athletic | 19 | 14 | L D D L L |
- Bolton Wanderers 1–5 Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff City
- Stoke City 2–3 Middlesbrough
- Charlton Athletic 1–3 Norwich City
- Watford 2–0 Charlton Athletic
- Burnley 2–2 Charlton Athletic
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Championship game on our Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 24 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
Our model gives Middlesbrough a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Charlton Athletic 15%.
What time is Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
The model puts both teams to score at 56%.