Lincoln City vs Birmingham City Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Birmingham City favourites: Lincoln City 25%, draw 25%, Birmingham City 50%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (Championship). Expected goals are 1.06–1.59, and both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Lincoln City
- 25%
- fair 3.98
- Draw
- 25%
- fair 4.00
- Birmingham City
- 50%
- fair 2.01
Lincoln City vs Birmingham City prediction
The model expects 1.06 goals from Lincoln City and 1.59 from Birmingham City. Both teams to score is 52% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.5 (Lincoln City 4.0, Birmingham City 6.5). Over 9.5 corners: 59%.
- Expected cards: 3.8. Over 3.5 cards: 52%. Referee: L Smith, who averages 3.20 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln City | 15 | 15 | L L L D W |
| Birmingham City | 7 | 20 | D W W W L |
- Lincoln City 4–1 Burnley
- Millwall 2–2 Lincoln City
- Lincoln City 0–6 West Ham United
- Cardiff City 1–0 Birmingham City
- Birmingham City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers
- Birmingham City 4–0 Preston North End
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Championship game on our Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 24 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?
Our model gives Lincoln City a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Birmingham City 50%.
What time is Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time.
Will both teams score in Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?
The model puts both teams to score at 52%.