Burnley vs Portsmouth Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Portsmouth favourites: Burnley 34%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 42%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Championship). Expected goals are 1.44–1.61, and both teams score in 61% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Burnley
- 34%
- fair 2.92
- Draw
- 24%
- fair 4.17
- Portsmouth
- 42%
- fair 2.39
Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction
The model expects 1.44 goals from Burnley and 1.61 from Portsmouth. Both teams to score is 61% likely, and over 2.5 goals 59%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 9.7 (Burnley 5.0, Portsmouth 4.7). Over 9.5 corners: 50%.
- Expected cards: 4.6. Over 3.5 cards: 66%. Referee: R Ricardo, who averages 6.00 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 22 | 8 | D W D L L |
| Portsmouth | 11 | 18 | L W W D W |
- Lincoln City 4–1 Burnley
- Burnley 1–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Burnley 2–2 Charlton Athletic
- Portsmouth 2–1 Millwall
- Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 Portsmouth
- Norwich City 0–1 Portsmouth
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Championship game on our Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 24 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Our model gives Burnley a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Portsmouth 42%.
What time is Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Portsmouth?
The model puts both teams to score at 61%.