Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City Prediction & Stats
By the TheyShoot editorial team. Updated
Our model makes Bolton Wanderers favourites: Bolton Wanderers 40%, draw 26%, Bristol City 34%. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (Championship). Expected goals are 1.38–1.27, and both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Model view (not a tip)
- Bolton Wanderers
- 40%
- fair 2.53
- Draw
- 26%
- fair 3.84
- Bristol City
- 34%
- fair 2.91
Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City prediction
The model expects 1.38 goals from Bolton Wanderers and 1.27 from Bristol City. Both teams to score is 54% likely, and over 2.5 goals 49%. The three most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
Corners and cards
- Expected corners: 10.9 (Bolton Wanderers 5.7, Bristol City 5.2). Over 9.5 corners: 63%.
- Expected cards: 3.2. Over 3.5 cards: 40%. Referee: R Madley, who averages 4.17 cards per game this season.
Form and league position
| Team | Position | Points | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | 18 | 14 | W L W D L |
| Bristol City | 14 | 15 | W D L L D |
- Bolton Wanderers 1–5 Middlesbrough
- Southampton 0–0 Bolton Wanderers
- Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 Bolton Wanderers
- Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
- Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield United
- Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers
Team news can change the picture: the model doesn't know about injuries or rotation. See every Championship game on our Championship predictions page.
How these numbers are made
Results and match stats come from Football-Data.co.uk, which updates its files a few times a week. Includes results up to 24 October. Probabilities come from the TheyShoot model: a Poisson goals model built from every Championship result this season, rating each team's attack and defence with home advantage, and pulled towards last season's league average early on. It's a statistical baseline, not a tip; fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. Data updated 30 October at 18:40 UK time.
FAQs
Who will win Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?
Our model gives Bolton Wanderers a 40% chance, the draw 26% and Bristol City 34%.
What time is Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
Will both teams score in Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?
The model puts both teams to score at 54%.